TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points UCF and Oklahoma State score specifically in the fourth quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold, so bettors are predicting whether the combined fourth-quarter scoring will exceed that threshold.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation play in the UCF vs Oklahoma State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, excluding any overtime scoring. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined fourth-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the likelihood of different point totals. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more accurate information. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the fourth quarter of the UCF vs Oklahoma State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCF or Oklahoma State would likely cause movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it suggests conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. In-game events, such as a dominant performance by one team or a series of turnovers, could lead to rapid shifts in the market as traders react to the unfolding action. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also contribute to price fluctuations.