TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between UCF and Oklahoma State. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either UCF or Oklahoma State exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified point margin must be surpassed by the indicated team within that quarter alone. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or differing levels of information available to each group. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional markets.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread difference in the third quarter of the UCF vs Oklahoma State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to the value of 100 for the contracts corresponding to the actual point spread at the end of the third quarter, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders should monitor official game results to understand the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UCF or Oklahoma State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could shift expectations and lead to adjustments in the spread. Finally, any significant public betting activity or analysis released by sports commentators could also move this market.