TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of a college football game between UCF and Oklahoma State, specifically analyzing how much one team might win by in the second half of play. Each market represents a different point margin threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the UCF vs Oklahoma State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets are structured with varying thresholds for Oklahoma State or UCF to win by more than a specified number of points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count toward resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to professional oddsmakers, and how that impacts this market.
On Kalshi, the price of contracts for the UCF vs Oklahoma State spread is determined by the forces of supply and demand. Traders actively bid and ask on contracts representing different outcomes, and the resulting price reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Essentially, if many traders believe Oklahoma State will cover the spread, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. This creates a dynamic and responsive market for forecasting the game's result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, and the outcome will be determined by the official point spread of the second half of the UCF vs Oklahoma State football game. The final score difference, as reported by official sources, will dictate whether contracts predicting Oklahoma State winning by over 13.5 points settle positively or negatively. The resolution will be based on publicly available and verifiable game data, ensuring a clear and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the UCF or Oklahoma State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the spread. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions in this market.