TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between UCF and Oklahoma State. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by the combined scores of both teams, determines the outcome of that specific market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the UCF vs Oklahoma State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate – perhaps due to injuries not fully priced in or a miscalculation of team form – the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, betting that the first half total will be over the implied line, or sell 'no' contracts, betting it will be under. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective probability assessment of all participants trading on the exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total from the UCF vs Oklahoma State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score as recorded by the governing sports body. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if the actual first half total exceeds the implied line, while those holding 'no' contracts will receive a payout if it falls short. The exact payout amount will depend on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCF or Oklahoma State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift the price, even without new external information.