TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Kansas wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Kansas wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:01h:37m
$
This set of markets tracks the point differential outcome of a college football game between UCF and Kansas, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the UCF vs Kansas college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If Kansas wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Kansas wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if UCF wins by exceeding its specified margin, the relevant 'UCF wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely result of the game, or that one venue has incorporated information more quickly than the other. It’s important to note that prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the UCF vs Kansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. It's important to monitor the game's progress as it nears completion to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UCF or Kansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to shifts in the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, driving price fluctuations before Nov 7, 2026.