TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on the exact scoring level in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the third quarter of the UCF vs Houston college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points, and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined third-quarter points exceed that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty. While sportsbooks may initially lean on statistical models, this market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd quarter between UCF and Houston will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes. This market provides a way to speculate on the 3rd quarter score before the game is played.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either UCF or Houston would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also cause price fluctuations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can play a role in shaping trader expectations and influencing the price of contracts in this market.