TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points UCF and Houston score together in the second quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the UCF vs Houston college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points); if the combined second-quarter score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of various outcomes. If sportsbook odds initially favor a particular result, this market might show a more nuanced view as more information becomes available and traders refine their estimates. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or varying interpretations of team performance and potential game scenarios.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the UCF vs Houston game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts predicting 'Over' or 'Under' a specific point total will pay out. Traders will be able to view the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes and the official score is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCF or Houston would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on weather conditions that could affect the game's scoring pace. Changes in public perception, driven by pre-game analysis or early game performance, can also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game tactical adjustments could further impact expectations and lead to price fluctuations in this market.