TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UCF vs Houston: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of UCF vs Houston?

Volume:
$130,585

UCF wins by over 7.5 points

 - Kalshi

UCF wins by over 7.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 1:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCF wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,228
N/A
N/A
$11,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCF wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,092
N/A
N/A
$11,225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCF wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,698
N/A
N/A
$10,940
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCF wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,961
N/A
N/A
$7,342
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCF wins by over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,433
N/A
N/A
$6,008
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCF wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,937
N/A
N/A
$3,589
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,018
N/A
N/A
$27,924
Settled
No
kalshi

UCF wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,469
N/A
N/A
$5,069
Settled
No
kalshi

UCF wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,293
N/A
N/A
$4,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,910
N/A
N/A
$3,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,799
N/A
N/A
$3,613
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,993
N/A
N/A
$2,237
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,456
N/A
N/A
$2,448
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,496
N/A
N/A
$773
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,461
N/A
N/A
$1,130
Settled
No
kalshi

UCF wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$819
N/A
N/A
$465
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$787
N/A
N/A
$787
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
$707
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
$508
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
$436
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between UCF and Houston. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might lead at halftime.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the UCF vs Houston college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin within that timeframe. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, all open markets will resolve according to the actual first-half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable adjustment rather than strict win/loss criteria. These provisions apply uniformly across all specified point-differential thresholds for both teams.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the UCF vs Houston spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $128,638. The total volume traded on this market is $130,585. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and gauge market sentiment regarding the likely outcome of the first half spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome, or that the market has identified information not yet fully priced into sportsbook odds. It’s important to compare and contrast to inform your own trading decisions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome, but it’s subject to change as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the first half of the UCF vs Houston game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual result, and 0 for all other contracts. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it unfolds to understand how the final result will impact the market’s settlement.

Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UCF or Houston teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.