TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UCF Knights vs. Houston Cougars (W)
Volume:
$60,089
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between UCF Knights and Houston Cougars scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Houston. The market resolves based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria are logically contradictory, resolving to Yes for both possible game outcomes. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (UCF vs Houston) with a 50-50 cancellation clause. This makes Kalshi's market unresolvable and creates irreconcilable settlement risk.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market structure guarantees a Yes resolution regardless of the actual game result, indicating a critical error in market design. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is the only tradeable version.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if UCF wins AND Yes if Houston wins. This creates a tautological resolution where the market always resolves Yes, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes or determine a meaningful settlement value.
- Polymarket: Resolves to UCF Knights if UCF wins, Houston Cougars if Houston wins. Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. This is a standard binary outcome structure with clear edge case handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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