TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:40 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines to balance their risk. This market, however, represents the collective forecast of individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. You may find that the implied probabilities from Polymarket differ from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who can identify discrepancies between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Sampdoria vs. Arezzo match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of a particular outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price, and therefore the greater the implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sampdoria vs. Arezzo match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Additionally, real-time performance during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Broader factors like weather conditions or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential movements in this market.