TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between UC Sampdoria and SS Arezzo.
This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between UC Sampdoria and SS Arezzo.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, although past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, meaning the product of the liquidity for each outcome remains constant, influencing price movements based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving sentiment of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the UC Sampdoria vs. SS Arezzo match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Key events include any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also impact trading volume and price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential catalysts for price movements in this market.