TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:04h:45m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between UC Irvine and UCLA, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with specific rules around cancellation or abandonment.
In the upcoming CWBB game between UC Irvine Anteaters and UCLA Bruins, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official result of the UC Irvine vs UCLA women's college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital based on their beliefs. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of forecasters. This market, specifically, may show a different probability than traditional sportsbooks, based on the unique insights of traders.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading interfaces, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, leading to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UCLA Bruins (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward UCLA wins at 95.0%. These differences highlight how distinct market dynamics can shape expectations for the UC Irvine vs. UCLA basketball game.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the UC Irvine vs. UCLA basketball game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The outcome will be based on the official result as reported by the governing body of the sport, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift the probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related basketball games could also cause traders to reassess their predictions for the UC Irvine vs. UCLA basketball game, leading to fluctuations in the market.