TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in a college football game between UC Davis and Southern Utah. Outcomes depend on which team wins and by how many points they exceed specific thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of dominance for either team.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the UC Davis vs Southern Utah college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If UC Davis wins, markets resolve to Yes when their victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 30.5 points). If Southern Utah wins, markets resolve to Yes when their victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 17.5 points). Postponements are handled by allowing the game to proceed within 48 hours of its original start time; if not started within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on injuries, weather conditions, or other factors influencing the game. It’s common to see prediction markets move *before* sportsbooks adjust their lines, particularly when new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts at prices determined by supply and demand. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the UC Davis vs Southern Utah game. As more people believe UC Davis will win by a certain margin, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on the side of the contract purchased. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the UC Davis vs Southern Utah game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct side of the spread will settle at 100, while those predicting the incorrect side will settle to 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on the actual game results.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UC Davis or Southern Utah would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching announcements or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also play a role. Public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also influence trader behavior and drive price fluctuations in this market.