TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between UC Davis and Southern Utah. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends purely on which team has more points at halftime.
The market resolves based on the first half result of the UC Davis vs Southern Utah college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If either team leads at the end of the first half, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is tied at halftime, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution, which will instead use the official first half result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Points scored only during the first half count toward resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional polls and expert analyses. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially offering a different perspective than fixed sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, providing insight into the level of conviction behind current prices. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first half of the UC Davis vs Southern Utah game will determine the winning contract. The result will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as they become available following the conclusion of the first half. The platform will then finalize the market and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics can also impact trader sentiment. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, any late-breaking news or developments related to either UC Davis or Southern Utah could lead to price fluctuations in this market up until the start of the game.