TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:23h:43m
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In the upcoming college football game between UC Davis and Idaho, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UC Davis" if UC Davis win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho" if Idaho win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between UC Davis and Idaho, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UC Davis" if UC Davis win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho" if Idaho win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026. Should the game be postponed but begin within 48 hours of its scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the original time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi states it is not connected to the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading fees, liquidity, and market-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the way each platform displays and structures its markets can influence trading behavior. For example, one platform might focus on the point spread, while the other emphasizes the moneyline, leading to different price signals. The current volume on this market is $0, which may also play a role in price formation.
This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the UC Davis vs. Idaho game, as reported by official sources, will determine the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome. The volume of $0 suggests significant interest in this event.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either UC Davis or Idaho would likely shift the probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes or significant team performance fluctuations in preceding games could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding weather conditions on game day, or even major off-field distractions affecting team morale, could also move the market. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning will be reflected in the trading activity on Polymarket and Kalshi.