TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:22h:24m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between UC Davis Aggies and Eastern Washington Eagles, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026. The markets aim to predict which team will win the game, or if the game will not reach a definitive conclusion.
In the upcoming CWBB game between UC Davis Aggies and Eastern Washington Eagles, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event determines the winner of the women's college basketball game between UC Davis and Eastern Washington, scheduled for November 6, 2026. If Eastern Washington wins the game as originally scheduled, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and UC Davis's market resolves to No. Conversely, if UC Davis wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Eastern Washington's resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event operates independently of any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets, incentivizing participants to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or market dynamics. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the event's potential results.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform may vary, leading to price discrepancies. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Kalshi could have a broader range of participants with varying levels of expertise. These differences in market composition and trading dynamics can result in differing probabilities for the UC Davis vs. Eastern Washington game.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the UC Davis vs. Eastern Washington game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the relevant governing body for collegiate athletics. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring a clear understanding of how the outcome will be verified.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either UC Davis or Eastern Washington would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any significant bets placed on either Polymarket or Kalshi could move the market, especially if they represent informed wagers from experienced traders. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.