TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored by both teams in a specific college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the game might be.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of UAB and South Florida in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, ranging from 23.5 to 65.5 points, with the outcome determined by comparing the actual total points to each threshold.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the total points, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the UAB vs South Florida game will be over or under the specified line. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a consensus expectation, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total from the UAB vs South Florida game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UAB or South Florida would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as public betting patterns reported by sportsbooks, could all contribute to shifts in the price on Kalshi as traders adjust their expectations.