TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for one team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of UAB and South Florida in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is still based on the final score of that game. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning the contract value will adjust to reflect the current probability based on available information.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing a team will exceed its total) or sell 'no' contracts (believing they will fall short). The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective expectation of the total points scored by each team in the UAB vs South Florida game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both UAB and South Florida will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether each team’s actual point total exceeds the threshold defined by the contract prices at the time of resolution. No further action is required from participants once the game concludes and the results are officially published.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UAB or South Florida would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway traders’ opinions. Even significant betting patterns observed in traditional sportsbooks could influence activity in this market, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies.