TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Memphis will win its college football game against UAB. Currently, Kalshi gives Memphis a 96.0% probability of winning, while UAB is at 4.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the UAB vs Memphis game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 10, 2026, as the final score will determine whether Memphis secures the win and resolves this market to ‘Yes’.
The market resolves based on the official result of the UAB vs Memphis college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will stay open and resolve according to the final score. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability implied by that price goes up. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the UAB vs Memphis game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the UAB vs Memphis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing body of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winner. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the UAB or Memphis teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or time could also lead to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for informed trading in this market.