TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between U-BT Cluj-Napoca and BC Dubai in the ABA League. The markets aim to predict which team will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:00AM ET: If the U-BT Cluj-Napoca win, the market will resolve to "U-BT Cluj-Napoca". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event determines the winner of the men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game between Dubai Basketball and FC Universitatea Cluj, scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the match as originally scheduled, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable outcome given the disruption.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price formation. Furthermore, the liquidity—or volume—on each platform can vary significantly, impacting how quickly prices react to new information. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Kalshi could have a broader, less experienced participant pool. These differences can result in varying assessments of the likelihood of different outcomes for the U-BT Cluj-Napoca vs. BC Dubai game.