TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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U-BT Cluj-Napoca vs. BC Dubai
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of U-BT Cluj-Napoca vs. BC Dubai?

Volume:
$5,665

Dubai Basketball

 - Kalshi

Dubai Basketball - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 7:56 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dubai Basketball

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,397
N/A
N/A
$2,073
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FC Universitatea Cluj

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,187
N/A
N/A
$1,895
Settled
No
polymarket

U-BT Cluj-Napoca vs. BC Dubai

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between U-BT Cluj-Napoca and BC Dubai in the ABA League. The markets aim to predict which team will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a 'Yes/No' outcome format while Polymarket directly names the winning team. This is a subtle difference in outcome definition.Hero tip: Be mindful of the outcome format when trading on each platform. While functionally similar, the resolution logic is expressed differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves directly to the winning team's name: "U-BT Cluj-Napoca" or "BC Dubai". "If the U-BT Cluj-Napoca win, the market will resolve to "U-BT Cluj-Napoca". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai"."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, but specifically references 'FC Universitatea Cluj' instead of 'U-BT Cluj-Napoca'. "If FC Universitatea Cluj wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Dubai Basketball wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:00AM ET: If the U-BT Cluj-Napoca win, the market will resolve to "U-BT Cluj-Napoca". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game between Dubai Basketball and FC Universitatea Cluj, scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the match as originally scheduled, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable outcome given the disruption.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets allow anyone to trade, and prices reflect the aggregate beliefs of all participants. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. The volume of $5,665 traded on this market indicates significant interest and potential for price discovery compared to standard betting options.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price formation. Furthermore, the liquidity—or volume—on each platform can vary significantly, impacting how quickly prices react to new information. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Kalshi could have a broader, less experienced participant pool. These differences can result in varying assessments of the likelihood of different outcomes for the U-BT Cluj-Napoca vs. BC Dubai game.