TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 3 at 9:00AM ET: If the Twarde Pierniki Torun win, the market will resolve to "Twarde Pierniki Torun". If the Wilki Morskie Szczecin win, the market will resolve to "Wilki Morskie Szczecin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 3 at 9:00AM ET: If the Twarde Pierniki Torun win, the market will resolve to "Twarde Pierniki Torun". If the Wilki Morskie Szczecin win, the market will resolve to "Wilki Morskie Szczecin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, as this can lead to a difference in probabilities compared to what sportsbooks offer. Examining these differences can provide insights into market perceptions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Twarde Pierniki Torun versus Wilki Morskie Szczecin game in the Polish Basketball League. The winning team, as determined by the official league standings and game results, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games by either Twarde Pierniki Torun or Wilki Morskie Szczecin could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general news and analysis surrounding the Polish Basketball League, or even broader sports betting trends, might contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.