TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming PLK game between Basket Zielona Gora and Twarde Pierniki Torun, originally scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Twarde Pierniki Torun win, the market will resolve to "Twarde Pierniki Torun". If the Basket Zielona Gora win, the market will resolve to "Basket Zielona Gora". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming PLK game between Basket Zielona Gora and Twarde Pierniki Torun, originally scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Twarde Pierniki Torun win, the market will resolve to "Twarde Pierniki Torun". If the Basket Zielona Gora win, the market will resolve to "Basket Zielona Gora". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven by the actions of traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Twarde Pierniki Torun versus Basket Zielona Gora game. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even broader trends in the Polish basketball league, might also shift the odds. Public statements from key players or analysts, as well as any significant media coverage, could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to Nov 7, 2026.