TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between Tvaakers and Hassleholms IF. The market focuses on determining whether either team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of three markets resolving based on the result of the Tvaakers vs Hassleholms IF professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 3, 2026. The 'Tvaakers' market resolves to Yes if Tvaakers wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 'Hassleholms IF' market resolves to Yes if Hassleholms IF achieves such a victory. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes if the game concludes with an equal score after the same duration. All markets explicitly exclude outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to divergences, especially when public sentiment differs from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information from a wider range of sources, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic and efficient pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tvaakers vs Hassleholms IF match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in the likely outcome could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could signal new information or a change in market expectations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the event approaches.