TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome hinges on the margin of victory for either team within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets for this event resolve based on the goal differential in the Turks & Caicos vs Br. Virgin Islands professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. The outcome is determined by the difference in goals scored between the two teams during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings. Each market specifies a different winning margin threshold for each team, ranging from Turks & Caicos winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals to Br. Virgin Islands winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and resolves to Yes if the actual margin exceeds the specified threshold in favor of the relevant team. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with CONCACAF and that all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Turks & Caicos vs. BVI spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Turks & Caicos vs. BVI game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any individual’s opinion and relies on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team performance in preceding matches, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or scheduling could also cause shifts in the market. Significant betting activity in sportsbooks, or even public opinion expressed through polls, might also influence trading behavior on Kalshi and move the price of the spread.