TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Turks and Caicos Islands and British Virgin Islands, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Turks and Caicos Islands" if Turks and Caicos Islands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "British Virgin Islands" if British Virgin Islands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Turks and Caicos Islands and British Virgin Islands, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Turks and Caicos Islands" if Turks and Caicos Islands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "British Virgin Islands" if British Virgin Islands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – in this case, which team will score first. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of them scoring first. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the match between Turks and Caicos Islands and the British Virgin Islands. The official result will be determined by the governing body of the competition and will be publicly available. The platform will then verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly, distributing funds to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player availability could cause shifts in the odds. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators or analysts, even if not directly impacting the game, can sway public opinion and therefore trading behavior. Finally, large volume trades from individual participants could also create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 4, 2026.