TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Turkiye vs. Slovenia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Turkiye vs. Slovenia?

Volume:
$325,103

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,929
N/A
N/A
$22,755
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Turkiye vs. Slovenia)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Turkiye

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179,599
N/A
N/A
$107,835
Settled
No
polymarket

Turkiye

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Slovenia

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,652
N/A
N/A
$33,683
Settled
No
polymarket

Slovenia

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a FIFA Women's World Cup Qualifier match between Turkey and Slovenia, scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets ask whether Turkey, Slovenia, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation rules differ between Kalshi and Polymarket, impacting the resolution of win/draw markets if the game is canceled.Hero tip: Polymarket's win markets are more sensitive to cancellation than Kalshi's. Consider this when evaluating positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the Turkey and Slovenia win markets resolve "No", while the Draw market resolves "Yes". The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: If Turkiye wins, Slovenia wins, or it is a Tie, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled entirely, the market resolves to Yes for each outcome. The primary resolution source is official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Turkiye and Slovenia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Turkiye vs Slovenia professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer game scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Turkiye, a win for Slovenia, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The resolution depends solely on the official match result as recognized by the governing league, with no affiliation or endorsement implied between the platform and the league or its entities.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting more nuanced information and potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as new information becomes available. However, both offer ways to assess the likelihood of different results in the Turkiye vs. Slovenia match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance, which influences their trading behavior. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $325,103 – impacts price discovery and can create temporary discrepancies. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the value of aggregating information across multiple venues to gain a comprehensive view of potential outcomes for the Turkiye vs. Slovenia match.