TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Turcanu Maxim and Turcanu Roman in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 20 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Turcanu Maxim' if Turcanu Maxim wins against Turcanu Roman. This market will resolve to 'Turcanu Roman' if Turcanu Roman wins against Turcanu Maxim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Turcanu Maxim and Turcanu Roman in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 20 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Turcanu Maxim' if Turcanu Maxim wins against Turcanu Roman. This market will resolve to 'Turcanu Roman' if Turcanu Roman wins against Turcanu Maxim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that differs from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially favor one brother, the prediction market could demonstrate a different expectation based on factors like training updates or perceived fighting styles. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities to see where the crowd and the bookmakers diverge in their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular brother, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the potential result. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds aren’t set in advance but evolve with the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Turcanu brothers boxing match. The winner of the fight, as determined by the official judges’ decision or a knockout/technical knockout, will dictate the outcome of this market. The platform will then verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the victor, based on the share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either of the Turcanu brothers would likely cause a shift in the odds. Updates on their training camps, sparring partners, or changes in their coaching staff could also influence trader sentiment. Pre-fight press conferences and weigh-in results could provide further clues about each fighter’s condition and strategy. Finally, any public statements from boxing analysts or experts offering predictions could sway the market, as traders incorporate new information into their assessments.