TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Turcan Victor and Belibov Daniel in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 12 at 4:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Turcan Victor' if Turcan Victor wins against Belibov Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Belibov Daniel' if Belibov Daniel wins against Turcan Victor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Turcan Victor and Belibov Daniel in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 12 at 4:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Turcan Victor' if Turcan Victor wins against Belibov Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Belibov Daniel' if Belibov Daniel wins against Turcan Victor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it may indicate a disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current volume traded demonstrates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Turcan vs. Belibov match, as declared by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or any controversies surrounding the match would likely cause significant price movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by traders' own assessments of the probabilities.