TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tunisia vs. Libya
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tunisia vs. Libya?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$353
29%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Tunisia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:17h:04m

Tunisia wins

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tunisia

Trade
N/A
N/A
76¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 17h
Active
polymarket

Tunisia

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 84.5¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Libya

Trade
N/A
N/A
75¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 17h
Active
polymarket

Libya

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 84¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
61¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 17h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Tunisia vs. Libya)

Trade
32%
Yes 60¢No 97¢
57¢
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 59¢Max: 61¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single Association Football (soccer) match between Tunisia and Libya, part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers. Markets ask whether Tunisia will win, Libya will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, creating potential discrepancies in resolution if the game is not completed as scheduled.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's rules could lead to a 'No' resolution even if a result is played, but then overturned or the game is subject to a protest. Kalshi's market is more directly tied to the on-field result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Includes a detailed hierarchy of resolution for abandoned games.
  • Kalshi: If Tunisia wins the Tunisia vs Libya professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. No mention of abandonment or no-result scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Tunisia and Libya, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Tunisia wins the Tunisia vs Libya professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Libya wins the Tunisia vs Libya professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Tunisia vs Libya professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially incorporating information not readily available to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while these markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to late-breaking news or subtle shifts in sentiment. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and arbitrage opportunities can arise when discrepancies exist between them.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and access to information regarding the Tunisia vs. Libya match. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and margin requirements on each platform can influence price movements. These differences are normal and contribute to a more robust overall prediction.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Tunisia vs. Libya match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official announcements related to the match to stay informed about potential factors influencing resolution.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Tunisian or Libyan national teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in coaching staff or team strategy could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major upsets in other qualifying matches or changes in the overall tournament landscape could indirectly influence the perceived probabilities. Finally, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ performance could contribute to shifts in trading activity and, consequently, the market price.