TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Tulsa and Sacramento Republic. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Tulsa versus Sacramento Republic USL Championship match scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any market, if the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from informed analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or initial sportsbook lines, as they aggregate diverse opinions and allow for continuous price updates based on new information. It's a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likely final score. The goal is to trade contracts at a price that reflects your belief about the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or any added time, according to standard soccer rules. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tulsa or Sacramento Republic would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also play a role. Additionally, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential trading opportunities.