TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential outcomes of a college football game between Tulsa and Rice, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively. The collective markets allow participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other.
The markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Tulsa vs Rice college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Tulsa wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; if Rice wins by a margin exceeding its specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, the market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to align with sportsbook odds, but differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the result. Discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences between the two. It's common to see this market move slightly ahead of sportsbook adjustments as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Tulsa vs Rice spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Tulsa vs Rice game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports organization, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning spread. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tulsa or Rice teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also move the market. Additionally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can indicate changing sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role.