TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether Tulsa or Oakland Roots SC achieves a victory with a specified goal-differential margin within regular time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The markets resolve based on the outcome of the Tulsa vs Oakland Roots SC USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, considering only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and not including any extra time or penalty shootout results. Two markets focus on Tulsa winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, while the other two focus on Oakland Roots SC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The secondary rule states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by actual trading activity. If there’s strong disagreement between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise – where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling on both venues. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and this market both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the Tulsa vs Oakland Roots SC match, but they arrive at their probabilities through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The current price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buyers drive the price up, while more sellers push it down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions as the event approaches. The goal is to accurately reflect the likelihood of each result in the Tulsa vs Oakland Roots SC match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Tulsa vs Oakland Roots SC match, specifically the spread. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the Oct 18, 2026 resolution. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Tulsa or Oakland Roots SC, changes in team form or coaching strategies, and even significant weather forecasts that might impact playing conditions. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or broadcast details, could also cause shifts in market prices. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the Tulsa vs Oakland Roots SC match can also play a role in influencing trader behavior.