TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Tulsa and Navy. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends purely on who holds the advantage after the first half concludes.
If Navy wins the 1st half of the Tulsa vs Navy college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulsa wins the 1st half of the Tulsa vs Navy college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Tulsa vs Navy college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the first half, the price for that outcome will increase, potentially moving further away from the initial sportsbook line. However, as the event approaches, both may converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—either Tulsa winning the first half or Navy winning the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the first half. The market's price is solely determined by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official halftime result of the Tulsa vs Navy football game will be used to determine which contract pays out. The team leading at the end of the second quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. No further information about the resolution process is available. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and confirmation of the payout.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tulsa or Navy team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, as kickoff approaches, large trading volume from informed bettors could cause substantial price fluctuations, reflecting their assessment of the likely outcome of the first half.