TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tulsa or Navy will win their college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Tulsa a 69.0% probability of winning, while Navy is at 31.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Tulsa vs Navy game, as determined by the official result if the game proceeds as scheduled. Specifically, if Navy wins the game, the market resolves to Yes. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Tulsa vs Navy college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more trading activity occurs. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the anticipated result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome is verified after the game. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Tulsa vs Navy game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The process ensures a transparent and objective resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market. Key factors include injury reports for prominent players on either team, significant changes in weather forecasts that might affect gameplay, and any major news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also lead to shifts in the market. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though the market is driven by trader actions rather than external opinions.