TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Charlotte will win the college football game against Tulane by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Charlotte winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 80.0%. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Tulane vs Charlotte college football game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, specifically if Tulane wins by more than 21.5 points. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on or around the resolution date of 2026-10-31.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Tulane vs Charlotte college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold: if Tulane wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding 'Tulane wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Charlotte wins by exceeding its specified margin, the relevant 'Charlotte wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. It's common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available, with this market potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome than what is presented by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Tulane vs Charlotte game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the game's likely outcome based on collective trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the actual point spread of the Tulane vs Charlotte game, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game location could also play a role, as could major shifts in public perception of either team's chances. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information entering the market, causing the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 31, 2026.