TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Tudelano and Zaragoza, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's final standing when time officially expires.
The markets collectively determine the winner of the Tudelano vs Zaragoza Copa del Rey match after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. A ‘Yes’ outcome for either Tudelano or Zaragoza occurs only if that specific team is declared the victor at the end of regulation time. If the teams are level when time expires, the ‘Tie’ market resolves to ‘Yes’. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original Oct 27, 2026 date, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, tends to represent a more aggregated and potentially more accurate forecast of the event’s outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each source assesses the probability of a win for either team in the Tudelano vs Zaragoza match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of either Tudelano or Zaragoza winning the match in regulation time. The 24-hour volume indicates the level of trading activity influencing these prices.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, following the completion of the Tudelano vs Zaragoza match in regulation time. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, verified against credible public reporting. Specifically, the team that wins the match within the 90 minutes of regulation time will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered in determining the outcome. The market will close and settle based on this official result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Tudelano or Zaragoza would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also sway trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team tactics or managerial decisions could contribute to movement in this market before Oct 27, 2026.