TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:01 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the 3. Liga game, scheduled for October 31 at 9:00 AM ET.
More markets for the 3. Liga game, scheduled for October 31 at 9:00 AM ET.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure a profit, often incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, representing their assessment of the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, potentially identifying value where the markets diverge.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if the outcome resolves favorably. This dynamic pricing system allows for a constantly updated assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the TSV Havelse vs. FC Ingolstadt match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Match previews, expert analyses, and even public opinion could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s probability assessment leading up to Oct 31, 2026.