TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between TSV Hartberg and Wolfsberger AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "TSV Hartberg" if TSV Hartberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wolfsberger AC" if Wolfsberger AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between TSV Hartberg and Wolfsberger AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "TSV Hartberg" if TSV Hartberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wolfsberger AC" if Wolfsberger AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the likelihood of an outcome, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value, depending on their own analysis of the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving assessment of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Hartberg vs. Wolfsberger AC match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hartberg or Wolfsberger AC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Major news events impacting team morale or motivation could also play a role, as could any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of success.