TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. VfL Bochum
Volume:
$323,974
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and VfL Bochum scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets track the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with separate binary contracts for each team's win and for a draw result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets with explicit cancellation rules per market type, while Kalshi presents three independent YES/NO markets without published cancellation guidance, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Traders should confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol in writing before taking positions. If Kalshi treats cancellation as YES for all three markets while Polymarket resolves draw-YES and win-NO, a canceled match creates arbitrage. Polymarket's structure is more transparent and trader-friendly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets (Düsseldorf win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Bochum win YES/NO). Cancellation with no makeup: draw market resolves YES, win markets resolve NO. Explicit scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three independent YES/NO markets, each resolving YES if its outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause published. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties). Logical structure allows multiple YES resolutions if cancellation rules differ from Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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