TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel
Volume:
$431,911
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel are scheduled to compete on April 10, 2026, in a 2. Bundesliga match. Three linked markets assess the outcome: Fortuna 95 win, Holstein Kiel win, or draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with official Bundesliga statistics as the primary source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 10, 2026, with identical scope and primary resolution source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (Bundesliga/DFL); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Dusseldorf win (YES on Polymarket Q1 and Kalshi Q1), Kiel win (YES on Polymarket Q2 and Kalshi Q2), or draw (YES on Polymarket Q3 and Kalshi Q3).
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket Q1 and Q2 resolve NO, Q3 resolves YES; Kalshi markets resolve according to the outcome that occurred (or NO if truly canceled).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the April 10, 2026 match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed and the result is official.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled date, Polymarket resolves the win markets (Q1, Q2) to NO and the draw market (Q3) to YES. Kalshi would resolve based on no match occurring.
- Resolution Source Fallback: Both platforms use official Bundesliga/DFL statistics as primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is used as secondary source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the governing body or event organizers, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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