TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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kalshi
polymarket
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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg - More Markets

Volume:
$365,849
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span multiple platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket) and include spread bets, over/under totals, and special props, all resolving based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve all markets on the same official final score from bundesliga.com after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical time scope and source hierarchy.

Primary resolution logic:

Official statistics published by bundesliga.com; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
  • Spread markets (e.g., Wolfsburg -1.5) resolve Yes if the specified team wins by the threshold or more goals; otherwise resolve to the opposing team.
  • Over/Under markets resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the stated threshold (e.g., O/U 3.5 resolves Over at 4+ combined goals).
  • Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team scores zero.
  • Kalshi binary markets resolve Yes if either team wins by the specified margin (e.g., >2.5 goals for either side).
  • If game is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If game is canceled entirely with no makeup, Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date. Resolution then occurs based on the final score of the rescheduled match.
  • Game Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket explicitly resolves 50-50. Kalshi does not specify; standard practice would defer to platform policy or no resolution.
  • Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed, Polymarket resolves according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. Kalshi does not explicitly address this; resolution would depend on official Bundesliga determination.
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If bundesliga.com does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution via consensus of credible reporting sources.

Timing:

Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics must be published or consensus reached within 2 hours of match end. Markets on Polymarket remain open if postponed; Kalshi does not specify hold duration.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.