TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 22 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 22 at 3:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can initially influence this market, especially before significant trading volume occurs. It's common to see initial alignment, followed by divergence as more information and opinions are factored into the prediction market prices. Keep in mind that these are distinct markets with different participants and motivations.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the event's outcome is already 'priced in' by the market, providing insight into prevailing expectations. The more volume traded, the more confidence can be placed in the market's assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hoffenheim vs. Lyon match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome aligns with the final score and any relevant tie-breaking rules. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Olympique Lyonnais would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or coaching changes might also cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or league standings could indirectly affect perceptions of team strength and influence trading activity in this market.