TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Olympique Lyonnais. It also includes an option for neither team scoring within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to odds that are more accurate, especially as more information becomes available and volume increases. The difference between the two can also highlight potential mispricings or areas where the market believes a sportsbook’s assessment is off.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume, which currently stands at $512 overall and $512 in the last 24 hours, also influences price discovery; lower volume can amplify price swings. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds – how traders bid and ask – may differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to these observed variations.