TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:15h:13m
$
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and FC Schalke 04. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' if no goal is scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and FC Schalke 04, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and FC Schalke 04, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Hoffenheim vs Schalke first-to-score market can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, each platform may incorporate information or analysis differently, leading to varying probabilities. The differing volume on each platform—Polymarket showing volume of $0 and Predict at $0—can also contribute to price divergence. These differences represent independent assessments of the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or FC Schalke 04—scores the first goal in the match. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The final result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 8, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Hoffenheim or Schalke would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or pre-game commentary from football analysts, could contribute to price movements. Any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to alter the perceived probabilities and move this market.