TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş JK. The market also includes an option for neither team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Resolution is based on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş JK, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK" if Beşiktaş JK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş JK, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK" if Beşiktaş JK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to differences compared to traditional sportsbook odds, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or limitations in modeling complex events. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aim for accurate probability assessment. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as market participants interpret data differently. The volume of $23 in this market suggests active trading and potentially refined probabilities.
Prices for the Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş first-to-score market can vary between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite, which can influence how aggressively participants price the probability of each outcome. For example, Polymarket currently favors TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score first at an implied probability, while Predict leans toward Beşiktaş JK. Differences in liquidity and the availability of information can also contribute to these price discrepancies. These variations present opportunities for arbitrage traders to capitalize on temporary mispricings across the different venues.