TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
Volume:
$398,208
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05 scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three binary markets are offered across platforms: Mainz win, Hoffenheim win, and draw outcome. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 4, 2026, with identical scope (regular play only, no extra time or penalties) and the same primary resolution source (official governing body statistics).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and the governing body (DFB) or event organizers' final match recordsCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Hoffenheim win, Mainz win, or draw.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Hoffenheim-win and Mainz-win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the April 4, 2026 match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the completed match result is official.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Hoffenheim-win and Mainz-win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
- Late Official Statistics: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by Bundesliga or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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