TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Troyes and Marseille. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the offensive intensity of the game.
The event evaluates whether the total goals scored by both Troyes and Marseille in their Ligue 1 match exceed specified thresholds. All markets resolve based solely on goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria tied to the respective threshold. The governing body’s official match result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the League or ownership of associated trademarks.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information not yet fully reflected in the sportsbook lines, or simply have a different assessment of the probabilities. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast of the total goals scored in the Troyes vs Marseille match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Troyes vs Marseille match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the Troyes vs Marseille goals market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect the style of play and potentially reduce the number of goals scored. Even pre-match team news, like the confirmed starting lineups and tactical approaches, can shift trader sentiment and move the market. Any unexpected developments leading up to the match could create trading opportunities.