TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Troyes and Le Mans. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Troyes vs Le Mans Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same governing conditions and disclaim any official affiliation with the league or its trademarks, emphasizing that resolution is based solely on the official match result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will rise in this market. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate a different assessment of the event's probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Troyes vs Le Mans match. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. The market is driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply driving them down.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Troyes vs Le Mans match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match reports and widely available sports news outlets to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Troyes or Le Mans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Additionally, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media could all contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing as traders react to new information.