TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Trollhattans and Jonkopings Sodra. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on the specified conditions.
The event resolves based on the result of the Trollhattans vs Jonkopings Sodra professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Trollhattans, a win for Jonkopings Sodra, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or new information emerges that isn't fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which causes the prices to fluctuate. The market efficiently aggregates this information, providing a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Swedish Superettan match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swedish Superettan match between Trollhattans and Jonkopings Sodra, as reported by official sporting sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders' perceptions and impact the odds. Unexpected results in other matches that affect team standings or motivation could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could quickly move the market, reflecting a change in collective belief among traders on Kalshi.