TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Türkiye vs. Romania
Description
This event group covers the FIFA World Cup Qualifier match between Türkiye and Romania scheduled for March 26, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Türkiye victory, a Romania victory, or a draw, evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Resolution is based on official governing body statistics, with credible reporting consensus as a secondary source if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the outcome of the Türkiye vs. Romania FIFA World Cup Qualifier match on March 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Türkiye win, Romania win, or draw.
- Kalshi markets resolve YES for any of the three outcomes (Türkiye win, Romania win, or draw); Polymarket has three separate markets, each resolving YES or NO based on its specific outcome.
- If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets resolve YES (as cancellation is a defined outcome).
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by FIFA or credible reporting sources within 2 hours of match conclusion.Follow the signals, not the noise
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